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New Zealand First has surged to a record high in the latest political poll, climbing nearly four percentage points to put the government coalition back in a commanding position.
The Taxpayers' Union-Curia poll shows New Zealand First jumping 3.9 points to 13.6%, its highest level on record. The surge comes as Labour dropped 1.0 point to 33.4% and the Greens fell 2.7 points to 7.8%.
National gained 1.4 points to reach 29.8%, while ACT increased 1.5 points to 9.0%. The Indigenous Rights Party dropped 0.6 points to 2.6%.
The results translate to significant seat changes in Parliament. New Zealand First would gain four seats to 17, while Labour would lose two seats, dropping to 42. National would pick up one seat for 37 total, and ACT would also gain one seat for 11.
The Greens face the biggest losses, dropping three seats to just 10. The Indigenous Rights Party would lose one seat, holding three.
Most importantly for the current government, the three ruling parties - National, ACT and New Zealand First - would command 65 seats combined, up six from the previous poll. This gives them a clear majority in the 120-seat Parliament.
The opposition bloc of Labour, Greens and Indigenous Rights Party would hold 55 seats, down six from before.
In the preferred Prime Minister stakes, Chris Hipkins leads with 21.7% but dropped 1.0 point. Christopher Luxon sits close behind at 20.5%, down 0.5 points.
Winston Peters gained ground in the leadership rankings, up 1.7 points to 12.1%. Green Party co-leader Chlöe Swarbrick jumped 2.8 points to 7.4%, while ACT's David Seymour fell 0.6 points to 4.6%.
The poll shows neither the traditional left bloc (Labour-Greens with 52 seats) nor right bloc (National-ACT with 48 seats) can govern alone. Both need a support partner to reach the 61 seats required for a majority.
Among smaller parties, TOP registered 2.6%, up 0.7 points. Other minor parties including NZ Outdoors and Freedom, Vision NZ, and New Conservatives all polled at zero percent.
The poll was conducted in comparison to the previous Taxpayers' Union-Curia survey from March 2026.
